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How do you find the probability of profit?

The probability of profit is the probability of the spot price being greater than the strike price plus what you paid for the option. So to get POP for a particular strike price, you should find delta for the option whose strike price is the first strike price plus the current option value for that strike price.

What is probability of profit?

Probability of profit is the odds of a particular options trade making money. Simply put if I make an options trade and do not manage the position how often will I be profitable. This is not to be confused with the probability of an option finishing in-the-money (ITM). Remember an option can end up ITM and the buyer can lose.

What is probability of profit (pop)?

Probability of profit (POP) refers to the chance of making at least $0.01 on a trade. This is an interesting metric that is affected by a few different aspects of trading - whether we’re buying options, selling options, or if we’re reducing cost basis of stock we are long or short.

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Risk warning: Digital asset trading is an emerging industry with bright prospects, but it also comes with huge risks as it is a new market. The risk is especially high in leveraged trading since leverage magnifies profits and amplifies risks at the same time. Please make sure you have a thorough understanding of the industry, the leveraged trading models, and the rules of trading before opening a position. Additionally, we strongly recommend that you identify your risk tolerance and only accept the risks you are willing to take. All trading involves risks, so you must be cautious when entering the market.

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